Pollster, Mussa Dankwah has cautioned that the political environment remains “hostile” for the opposition New Patriotic Party (NPP), as fresh tracking data points to a sustained decline in its support base.
In a Facebook post based on ongoing face-to-face polling for March 2026, Mr Dankwah said: “Ongoing face-to-face tracking poll for March 2026 shows NPP continues to decline in party affiliations.”
He noted that the NPP held a marginal lead in party identification ahead of the 2024 general election. “Prior to the 2024 elections, NPP was 37% and NDC, 33%,” he said.
However, the latest figures indicate a sharp reversal, with the governing National Democratic Congress (NDC) now holding a commanding lead. “Currently, only 25% of voters openly associate themselves with NPP compared to 46% for the NDC,” he stated.
“NPP support falls to 25% while NDC rises to 46%” — Mussa Dankwa, Alleged (Global Info Analytics)
Mr Dankwah said the disparity is even more pronounced in key battleground regions. “The situation is even worse in the swing regions (Greater Accra, Central and Western) where only 22% say they are NPP compared to 58% for the NDC,” he said.
He attributed the trend, in part, to recent political developments. “In the aftermath of NPP primaries, cocoa price brouhaha, etc., the political environment still appears hostile for the opposition party,” he added.
Mr Dankwah further urged reflection within the party on the causes of the downturn and the steps needed to reverse it.
“What is the problem and what can NPP do to reverse this tide?” he asked.
He maintained that his intervention was intended to support democratic accountability and informed debate.
“I have come in peace and with data to help build democracy and good governance. if you insult me or call me names, fine, it will not stop me sharing data to help figure out the problem,” he said.
The findings underscore the scale of the challenge facing the NPP as it seeks to rebuild support, particularly in swing regions that have historically played a decisive role in shaping electoral outcomes.
